Ken Larsen's website - DOLRT has low chance of getting Federal funding
(November 26, 2017) I just checked the FTA's list of projects in the engineering phase. There are six projects, and DOLRT currently has the lowest rating:
|#||Name of project||Location||Fed $ being asked for||Overall project rating||Project justification rating||Local financial commitment rating|
|1||Maryland National Capital Purple Line||Bethesda, MD||$ 900M||High||Medium-high||High|
|2||Lynnwood Link Extension||Seattle, WA||$ 1,173M||Medium-High||Medium-High||Medium|
|3||METRO Blue Line Extension (Bottineau LRT)||Minneapolis, MN||$ 753M||Medium-High||Medium||Medium-High|
|4||Southwest Light rail transit||Minneapolis, MN||$ 929M||Medium-High||Medium||Medium-High|
|5||Santa Ana - Garden Grove Streetcar Project||Santa, Ana, CA||$ 149M||Medium-High||Medium||Medium-High|
|6||Durham-Orange LRT||Durham, NC||$ 1,238M||Medium||Medium||Medium|
The complete list of Capital Investment Grant (CIG) projects can be found here. Projects in the engineering phase are listed with the acronym NSE (New Starts Engineering). I clicked on a project's PDF and then the PDF inside the PDF to see the ratings.
Note that besides DOLRT being rated last, DOLRT is asking for the most federal money. In addition, Durham-Orange counties are heavily Democratic, and the Federal government is currently Republican dominated.
Combine all of this, and I conclude that DOLRT has zero chance getting Federal funding.
The Federal Funding decision won't be made until late 2019 or early 2020. Until then, DOLRT is burning $ 5M/month in its engineering phase.